I te 17 o Noema, 2020, ko te ōritetanga matua o te reiti whakawhiti RMB i te mākete whakawhiti moni ke i waenga i ngā peeke ko: 1 tāra US ki te RMB 6.5762, he pikinga o te 286 ngā tohu pūtake mai i te rā hokohoko o mua, tae atu ki te wā 6.5 yuan. Hei tāpiri, kua piki ake ngā reiti whakawhiti RMB o uta me o tai ki te tāra US ki te wā 6.5 yuan.
Kāore i tukuna tēnei karere inanahi nā te mea he mea noa iho te tūponotanga 6.5. I raro i te mate urutā, he kaha te ōhanga o Haina, ā, e tino mōhiotia ana ka kaha tonu te RMB.
Tukuna mai he kōrero mai i tētahi tohunga:
Ka piki ake rānei te utu whakawhiti RMB ki te tāra US ki te wā 6.5?
Ngā Kupu a te Whānau
E matapaetia ana kāore te ia o te pikinga o te RMB e rerekē, engari ka heke te tere o te pikinga.
E ai ki ngā purongo i tukuna e te China Foreign Exchange Trading Center: I te 17 o Noema, ko te ōritenga waenga o te reiti whakawhiti RMB i te mākete whakawhiti moni ke i waenga i ngā peeke he 1 tāra US ki te RMB 6.5762, he pikinga o te 286 ngā tohu pūtake mai i te rā hokohoko o mua ki te wā 6.5 yuan. Hei tāpiri, kua piki ake ngā reiti whakawhiti RMB o uta me o tai ki te tāra US ki te wā 6.5 yuan. Muri iho, ka piki tonu te reiti whakawhiti RMB?
Kua piki te utu whakawhiti renminbi ki te 6.5, ā, he nui te tūponotanga ka mau tonu te pikinga o tēnei ia i te taumata e whai ake nei. E whā ngā take.
Tuatahi, kua hōhonu haere te nui o te hokohoko o te utu whakawhiti RMB, ā, kua whakakorea rawatia ngā āhuatanga o te wawaotanga a te tangata e te tari whakahaere o waho o te peeke matua. I te mutunga o Oketopa o tēnei tau, i kī te tari whakahaere o te tikanga whakahaere whaiaro o te mākete moni ke, kua tangohia e te peeke whakahua o te utu ōrite pokapū o te RMB ki te tāra US, i runga i āna ake whakatau mō ngā kaupapa ōhanga me ngā āhuatanga o te mākete, te kaupapa ki te aro atu ki te "hurihuri" i roto i te tauira utu ōrite pokapū o te RMB ki te tāra US. "Kua memeha haere te whakamahinga o te "tauwehenga huringa". Ko te tikanga tēnei kua mahia te taahiraa tino nui i roto i te hokohoko o te utu whakawhiti RMB. I te heke mai, ka piki ake te tūponotanga o ngā piki me ngā heke o te utu whakawhiti RMB. Kāore he aukati hangai mō te pikinga tonu o te RMB. Mā tēnei ka hangaia he āhuatanga pai mō te pikinga tonu o te RMB.
Tuarua, kua whakakorea e Haina te pānga kino o te mate urutā hou, ā, kāore he rite o tōna whanaketanga ōhanga i te ao katoa. Engari, he puhoi te whakaoranga ōhanga o ngā whenua o Ūropi me Amerika, inā koa kei te tino kino tonu te āhua o te United States, ā, kei te haere tonu te tāra. Kei te noho ngoikore. Mārama noa, nā te tautoko ōhanga taketake a Haina, ka piki tonu te utu whakawhiti RMB.
Tuatoru, ko tētahi atu āhuatanga i whai wāhi ki te whakatairanga i te utu whakawhiti o te renminbi ko te huihuinga i whakaritea ngātahitia e te Peeke Matua me te Komihana Whakahaere me te Tirotiro Rawa a te Kāwanatanga i te 12 o Noema i runga i te kaupapa "te whakahaere i te hokohoko me te haumi e ngā umanga e whakamahi ana i te renminbi puta noa i ngā rohe". He raupapa tohu pai: I kī te peeke matua kua hangaia ngātahitia e rātou te "Pānui mō te Arotau Ake i ngā Kaupapa Here RMB Whakawhiti-rohe hei Tautoko i te Whakapūmautanga o te Hokohoko Tawahi me te Haumi Tawahi" me te Komihana Whakawhanake me te Whakahou, te Manatū Tauhokohoko, me te SASAC. Ka tukuna wawetia ngā tuhinga kaupapa here. Ko te tikanga o tēnei ka tuwhera anō te mākete pūtea o tōku whenua ki te ao o waho, ā, ka tino whakawhanakehia hoki te mākete RMB o tāwāhi. Ka whakatairanga anō hoki i te whakatuwheratanga o te mākete pūtea RMB o tāwāhi, ā, ka whakanui ake i te kaha me te hohonutanga o te mākete pūtea RMB o tāwāhi. Ina koa, ka piri tonu ki ngā kōwhiringa a ngā umanga e whakahaerehia ana e te mākete me te motuhake, ka haere tonu ki te arotau i te taiao kaupapa here mō te whakamahinga whakawhiti-rohe o te RMB, me te whakapai ake i te whai huatanga o te RMB whakawhiti-rohe me te whakakorenga o tāwāhi. I tēnei wā, nā te hiahia o te mākete, kua tino ahu whakamua te whakamahinga o te renminbi o te ao. Ko te renminbi te tuarua o ngā moni utu whakawhiti-rohe nui rawa atu o Haina. Neke atu i te kotahi hautoru o ngā moni whiwhi me ngā utu whakawhiti-rohe a Haina i roto i ngā moni ā-rohe me ngā moni ke, ko ngā whiwhinga me ngā utu whakawhiti-rohe o te renminbi. Kua uru atu te RMB ki te kete moni SDR, ā, kua riro ko ia te tuarima o ngā moni utu o te ao nui rawa atu me te moni rahui moni ke mana o te ao.
Tuawhā, ā, ko te mea nui rawa atu, i te 15 o Noema, i hainatia mana e ngā whenua tekau o ASEAN me ngā whenua tekau mā rima tae atu ki a Haina, Hapani, Kōrea ki te Tonga, Ahitereiria, me Aotearoa te RCEP, e tohu ana i te mutunga mana o te whakaaetanga hokohoko kore utu nui rawa atu o te ao. Ehara i te mea ka whakatairanga noa i te hanganga o te Hapori Ōhanga ASEAN, engari ka tāpirihia hoki he kaha hou ki te whanaketanga rohe me te whai rawa, ā, ka noho hei miihini nui mō te tipu o te ao. Ina koa, ko Haina, te tuarua o ngā ōhanga nui rawa atu o te ao, kāore e kore ka noho ko ia te pūtake o te RCEP, ka whai pānga kaha ki ngā whakawhitiwhitinga ōhanga me te hokohoko o ngā whenua RCEP, ā, ka whai hua ki ngā whenua whai wāhi. I taua wā anō, ka taea hoki e te RMB te whai wāhi nui ake ki te whakataunga hokohoko me te utu a ngā whenua whai wāhi ki te RCEP, ka hua mai he maha ngā painga ki te whakatairanga i te pikinga o te hokohoko kawemai me te kaweake katoa a Haina, te kukume i ngā whenua RCEP ki te haumi ki Haina, me te whakanui ake i te tono mō te RMB mai i ngā whenua RCEP. Ka hoatu hoki e tēnei hua he whakatairanga ki te pikinga tonu o te utu whakawhiti RMB.
I roto i te poto, ahakoa kua tae te utu whakawhiti renminbi ki te wā 6.5, i runga i ngā tūmanakohanga o te hokohoko kawemai me te kaweake me ngā āhuatanga kaupapa here, kei reira tonu te wāhi mō te pikinga o te utu whakawhiti renminbi i muri mai. E matapaetia ana kāore te ia o te pikinga o te renminbi e rerekē, engari ka heke te tere o te pikinga; inā koa te mate urutā o te ao. I runga i te papamuri o te pikinga me te whakaaro mōrearea tonu, e matapaetia ana ka mau tonu te ia pumau me te kaha o te RMB i raro i te tautoko o ōna painga taketake.
Wā tuku: Whiringa-ā-rangi 18-2020




