【 Kupu Whakataki 】: Hei taonga hokohoko nui, he hononga tata te ia o te mākete ā-rohe o te whanariki ki te mākete o te ao. Ka ārahi a Xiaobian i a koe ki te mārama ki te āhua o te mākete o te ao mō te whanariki mā te tātari i ngā utu mākete o te ao mō te whanariki, te waikawa whanariki me te tongi phosphate.

1. Ka piki haere te utu o te tāra o te ao

I te tau 2023, i piki ake te mākete tāra US, i te tuatahi i akiakihia e te mākete RMB, i whakarewahia te mākete hoko tongi Hainamana i te marama o Hune, ā, i muri mai ko te mākete tongi o te ao i te marama o Hūrae, ā, i piki ake te utu kirimana o Qatar me Kuwait i te marama o Ākuhata mā te 19/18 tāra US/tana ki te 82/80 tāra US/tana, ā, i piki haere te tono mō te konganuku o Initonīhia. I te 10 o Ākuhata, ko te taha kawemai: FOB Vancouver US $89/tana, FOB Middle East US $89.5/tana, i piki ake mā te 27.5/26 US $/tana mai i Hūrae, ko te taha kaweake: CFR Īnia $102.5/tana, CFR Haina $113/tana, i piki ake mā te 16.5/113/tana mai i Hūrae. Ko te utu kaha o te tāra US i te whanariki o te ao i tautoko ake i te mākete RMB.

2, kua piki ake te kaweake a Haina i te waikawa whanariki ki Initonīhia mā te 229.6%

I te mea ko te hekenga tika o te whanariki, te waikawa whanariki o te mākete o te ao mai i te kino ki te pai, ko te kawemai waikawa whanariki i te haurua tuatahi o tēnei tau ko te 175,300 tana, he pikinga 16.79% i runga i te wā kotahi o te tau kua hipa, ko te puna matua mō Hapani me Kōrea ki te Tonga me te Porowini o Taiwan, ko te 96.6% o ngā kawemai waikawa whanariki mai i Shandong, Jiangsu i whiwhi, ko te tuku matua i raro i ngā umanga matū pai nui, me ētahi atu. Hei tāpiri, ko te nuinga o te whanariki wai i Shandong/Jiangsu he roa te nuinga, nō reira he kukū te tono mākete. Mō ngā kaweake, ko te kaweake waikawa whanariki a Haina i te haurua tuatahi o te tau ko te 1,031,300 tana, he hekenga 55.83% i runga i te wā kotahi o te tau kua hipa, ko te nuinga i tukuna ki Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Chile me India, ā, nā te tono mō ngā kaupapa whakarewa i Indonesia, i eke te tere tipu kaweake ki te 229.6% i runga i te tau kua hipa.

3, ko te pikinga ake o te hoko o te tongi phosphate o te ao ka piki ake te utu o ngā rauemi mata

Mō te tongi phosphate i raro iho i te whenua, hei te whenua kawemai nui rawa atu o te tongi phosphate o te ao, i kawemai a Īnia i te katoa o te 1.04 miriona tana i te marama o Hune, he pikinga o te 283.76%, me te pānga o te nui o te ua i te Tonga-Rawhiti o Āhia i tēnei tau, nā te tono tongi kua meinga a Thailand, Bangladesh me Vietnam me ētahi atu whenua kia whakapiki ake i te hoko tongi phosphate o te ao, ā, kua tīmata te mākete o te ao ki te whakapiki tere i ngā utu phosphate. I tēnei wā, ko te utu DAP o te ao kei roto i te CFR530-550 tāra US/tana, ā, ko te utu nui o te tongi phosphate te mea e akiaki ana i te utu o te whanariki mata, ā, kei te haere tonu te mākete whanariki o te ao. Heoi, i tēnei wā, kua heke haere te mākete urea o te ao, ā, ka noho te tono mō te mākete tongi i roto i te ia hurihuri.

4, āhea te kaha o te pana ki te mākete o te ao?

Mai i te marama o Hune, nā te awe o ngā āhuatanga maha, ko ngā utu whanariki o te ao i te ara, tae atu ki te mākete waikawa whanariki o raro me te pikinga o te tono tongi phosphate o te ao, i whai wāhi tahi ki te whakakotahitanga o tēnei huringa o ngā pikinga utu, i roto i te wā poto, tautoko tono, mākete whanariki maeneene, te tūponotanga o te utu ki te pupuri i te ia piki; I roto i te wā roa, ka ngoikore haere te wera o te mākete tongi phosphate o raro i te wā tongi ngahuru i te marama o Hepetema, ā, ka noho te tono mō ngā rauemi mata me ngā hua utu nui ki roto i te āhua taupatupatu, engari ko te tīmatanga o te rokiroki hotoke ā-whare ka kitea pea. E matapaetia ana ka whakakotahihia, ka whakangaueuetia te mākete whanariki o te ao i te wāhanga o muri mai.