I tēnei rā, ko te mākete hinu mata o te ao te mea tino āwangawanga mō te hui a te rāhui ā-motu i te 25 o Hūrae. I te 21 o Hūrae, i kī a Bernanke, te heamana o te rāhui ā-motu: "Ka whakapiki ake te Fed i ngā reiti huamoni mō te 25 ngā tohu pūtake i te hui e whai ake nei, koinei pea te wā whakamutunga i te marama o Hūrae." Inaa, he rite tēnei ki ngā tumanakohanga a te mākete, ā, kua piki ake te tūponotanga o te pikinga 25 ngā tohu pūtake i roto i ngā reiti huamoni ki te 99.6%, he hononga nui ki te whao.

He rārangi o ngā tohunga mō te pikinga o te reiti Fedgress

Mai i te marama o Poutū-te-rangi 2022, kua tekau ngā wā kua whakapiki ake te Federal Reserve i ngā reiti huamoni karapīpiti, ā, kua eke ki te 500 ngā tohu, ā, mai i te marama o Hune ki Noema i te tau kua hipa, e whā ngā pikinga reiti huamoni karapīpiti o te 75 ngā tohu pūtake, i roto i tēnei wā, kua piki te tāra tāra mā te 9%, ā, kua heke ngā utu hinu mata WTI mā te 10.5%. He iti noa te rautaki whakapiki reiti o tēnei tau, tae noa ki te 20 o Hūrae, ko te tāra tāra 100.78, he hekenga 3.58% mai i te tīmatanga o te tau, he iti iho i te taumata i mua i te whakapiki reiti o te tau kua hipa. Mai i te tirohanga o te mahi ā-wiki o te tāra tāra, kua kaha ake te ia i ngā rā e rua kua hipa kia hoki mai ki te 100+.

Mō ngā raraunga pikinga utu, i heke te cpi ki te 3% i te marama o Hune, ko te 11 o ngā hekenga i te marama o Poutū-te-rangi, ko te iti rawa mai i Poutū-te-rangi 2021. Kua heke iho i te 9.1% teitei ki te āhua e hiahiatia ana i te tau kua hipa, ā, ko te whakakaha tonu a te Fed i ngā kaupapa here moni kua whakamatao i te ohanga e wera rawa ana, koia te take i maha ai ngā whakapae a te mākete ka mutu te Fed i te whakapiki i ngā reiti huamoni.

Ko te taupū utu matua PCE, e tango ana i ngā utu kai me te pūngao, te mehua pikinga utu tino pai a te Fed nā te mea e kite ana ngā āpiha o te Fed i te PCE matua hei tohu ake i ngā au o raro. I tuhia e te taupū utu matua PCE i te United States he reiti ā-tau o te 4.6 ōrau i te marama o Mei, kei te taumata tino teitei tonu, ā, ko te reiti tipu te mea teitei rawa atu mai i Hanuere o tēnei tau. E whā tonu ngā wero e pā ana ki te Fed: he tīmatanga iti mō te pikinga reiti tuatahi, he ngoikore ake ngā āhuatanga pūtea i te mea i whakaarohia, te rahi o te whakaohooho pūtea, me ngā huringa o te whakapaunga me te kai nā te mate urutā. Ā, kei te wera rawa tonu te mākete mahi, ā, ka hiahia te Fed kia kite i te taurite o te tuku me te tono i roto i te mākete mahi kia pai ake i mua i te whakapuakitanga i te wikitoria i roto i te pakanga ki te pikinga utu. Nō reira, koinei tētahi take kāore anō te Fed kia mutu te whakapiki i ngā reiti i tēnei wā.

Nā te mea kua tino heke te mōrearea o te hinganga o te ōhanga i te Hononga o Amerika, e matapaetia ana e te mākete he ngawari noa iho te hinganga o te ōhanga, ā, kei te tohatoha te mākete i ngā rawa mō te taunga ngāwari. Ka aro tonu te hui reiti huamoni a te Federal Reserve i te 26 o Hūrae ki te tūponotanga o nāianei o te pikinga reiti 25 ngā pūtake, ka whakanui ake i te tāra tāra, ka aukati hoki i ngā utu hinu.